Exponential Moving Average: Tested & Proven Trading Strategy

In this article, we discuss the top 11 technical indicators in cryptocurrency trading, including the exponential moving average (EMA) and the simple moving average (SMA). And if you want to find out which technical indicators are most popular with TabTrader users, read our blog article. During periods of high volatility, some traders switch to shorter EMA periods to capture faster price movements and get quicker signals. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is similar to Simple Moving Average (SMA), measuring trend direction over a period of time. However, whereas SMA simply calculates an average of price data, EMA applies more weight to data that is more current. Because of its unique calculation, EMA will follow prices more closely than a corresponding SMA.

Crossovers with the price movement tend to indicate buy positions, whereas divergences with the price movement indicate sell positions. The image below indicates how the EMA are used to identify trends and locate buy and sell positions. Strike.money is one of the scanners that provide a list of stocks that are above or below the EMA, Crossing above or Crossing below the EMA as well. This way, the trader’s time for selecting stocks is reduced drastically and thus they will be able to analyze the list of stocks as per other criteria before executing the trade. The image uploaded below scans the list of stocks that are above the 10 period EMA.

What is an Example of a 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Calculation?

SEC fillings and other documents provided by Quartr.© 2025 TradingView, Inc. The graph above shows that a decline in prices is accompanied by a falling EMA denoted by a black arrow. The major difference between an EMA and an SMA is the sensitivity each one shows to changes in the data used in its calculation.

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  • For trading success, learn how to backtest and tune trading strategies.
  • The screenshot below shows the exact configuration for my EMA backtesting.
  • Exponential Moving Average is one of the most widely used tools in technical analysis.
  • To traders, the most recent price action is more significant than earlier movements.

Forget guessing how an indicator might perform; our instant backtesting data gives you the answers. Trading opportunities emerge when the RSI oscillator hits severe overbought or oversold levels. We can see that the price has dropped below the EMA, presenting a fantastic long opportunity, which is matched by an oversold reading on the RSI indicator.

  • Testing 960 years of data shows the average win rate for exponential moving averages on a Heikin Ashi chart is 39%.
  • All other settings on OHLC charts and timeframes produce losses and a failure rate of 67%.
  • From an opportunity cost point of view, it might be time to switch to a more bullish investment.
  • The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions.
  • For instance, when the price trades at the same rate as the EMA, it indicates that there isn’t any volatility in the market.

How to use EMA in trading

The exponential moving average (EMA) trading strategy is a trading approach that involves using EMA, a technical analysis tool that can help identify market trends and potential entry and exit points. The length of an EMA is determined by the trader’s investment strategy. Traders who have long-term investment strategies tend to use time frames ranging from 50 to  200-day periods. No, according to our testing, exponential moving averages work out very poorly for anyone trading them on a daily or even intraday 5-minute chart.

Example Chart: 3 Exponential Moving Averages

Because the EMA calculation places more weight on the latest data, it “hugs” the price action a bit more tightly and reacts more quickly. This is desirable when an EMA is used to derive a trading entry signal. It involves adding up the stock’s closing prices over a period and then dividing by the number of observations. For example, a 20-day SMA is just the sum of the closing prices for the past 20 trading days, divided by 20.

What Is a Good Timeline for an EMA?

The simple moving average win rate is 12%, while the exponential moving average is only 7%. When prices move above the EMA, it indicates an uptrend; when prices move below the EMA, it suggests a downtrend. A buy signal is generated when the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, and a sell signal is generated when the shorter-term EMA crosses below the longer-term EMA.

As a result, constructing an Exponential Moving Average trading strategy is ideal for traders who prefer short-term tactics, such as day trading in volatile markets. Due to its sensitivity, the EMA is more suitable for short-term trading and capturing shifts in momentum, while the smoother SMA aligns better with long-term investors looking at the bigger picture. Additionally, the inherent lag is reduced in the EMA compared to the SMA due to the exponential weighting. Yes, Value of EMA’s do work as effective support and resistance prices. They can work in conjunction with existing price action based demand and supply.

Traders and investors can use the EMA for short, specific time periods, as it can  reflect even small price fluctuations. But experienced traders who have performed their backtesting will avoid using these moving averages due to their poor performance in consolidating markets and low win rates of only 7%. One of the main advantages of using an exponential moving average is that it’s easy to calculate. Most charting software packages already have the calculations built in, so there’s no need for complicated formulas or manual calculations. The EMA also provides a clear visual representation of price trends, which can be easier to interpret than other types of technical analysis.

How Is the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Formula Calculated?

In this example, the 50-day exponential moving average (yellow) serves as dynamic support to price action. As mentioned above, the exponential moving average (EMA) puts more weight on the most recent price data. Technical analysis focuses on market action — specifically, volume and price. When considering which stocks to buy or sell, you should use the approach that you’re most comfortable with. I test all indicators, including the EMA, using their standard recommended settings, different timeframes, and different chart types; this provides an unbiased result. Also, the entry and exit prices use an average of the high and low prices for the day, making the testing more realistic.

Yes, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) are the same indicator. The EMA is also known as the EWMA because it lends more weight to recent price data points than the Simple Moving Average (SMA), which assigns equal weight to all price data points in a period. Commonly used EMAs include the 12- or 26-day EMA, which are typically relied on by short-term traders, while the ever-popular 50-day and 200-day EMA is used by long-term investors. Traders using the EMA must, however, keep in mind that the EMA is a lagging indicator and is not suitable for identifying trading positions ema indicator when used in isolation. It is often only after the time for making an entry or exit has passed that the EMA reflects it. All the systems in today’s era of capital markets provide automatically generated EMA’s as per user’s choice of period of days.

It is unclear whether or not more emphasis should be placed on the most recent days in the time period. Many traders believe that new data better reflects the current trend of the security. At the same time, others feel that overweighting recent dates creates a bias that leads to more false alarms.

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